July 21st, 2008

The Unmarried Women's Vote

By Mark Murray

Read the original article at MSNBC's First Read

Much has been made about how an increase in turnout among African Americans or young voters could end up benefiting Obama in the fall. But a new poll conducted by the Democratic firm Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, and commissioned for Women's Voices, Women Vote Action Fund, shows that it's also important not to overlook the role that unmarried women might play in the general election.

In the poll -- which was conducted among 1,004 registered unmarried women from June 19-24 in key battleground states -- Obama holds a 32-point lead over McCain (61%-29%) among this demographic. By comparison, another recent Greenberg/Democracy Corps survey has him leading McCain among married by just one point (49%-48%).

This marital gap isn't new. In 2004, according to exit polls, unmarried women voted for John Kerry by a 62%-37% margin, and they backed Democratic candidates in the 2006 midterms, 65%-32%. On the other hand, Kerry lost married women by 11 points to Bush in 2004, and the married vote was essentially split between Democrats and Republicans in the midterms.

Perhaps most interesting are the number of unmarried women in this country. Per Census data, there are 53 million unmarried women in this country -- which is almost equal to the number of married women, both representing 26% of the voting-age population. In fact, Page Gardner, president of Women's Voices, Women Vote Action Fund, says that unmarried women represent the nation's fastest-growing demographic. "It is huge and it's growing," she told First Read. "This is an extremely important demographic."

One of the poll's conclusions is that increasing the size of the unmarried women's vote -- from 22% of all voters in 2004 to 24% in 2008 -- could result in at least a two-point increase in Obama's total, "a huge gain in presidential politics."

But turning out unmarried women to vote hasn't always been easy. In 2004, according to the polling analysis, 41% of unmarried women DIDN'T vote in 2004, versus 29% of married women who didn't.

WVWV News
01 Jun 09 | 16:16

Page Gardner of Women’s Voices. Women’s Vote says those voters historically shut out of power are an essential voice in progressive economic policy because it affects their lives the most.

They care about good jobs; they need health care; they want this country to take care of its children through education.

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27 May 09 | 16:21

A new report released today by two liberal groups says a majority of Americans hold progressive positions on a broad range of controversial issues and key constituencies that favor progressives are growing larger.

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04 Mar 09 | 13:00

By Page S. Gardner
My recent memo to the progressive community demonstrates that unless progressives put forth a sustained effort to engage our base, there is likely to be a significant drop off in electoral participation in 2010.

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17 Feb 09 | 14:47

Statement by Page S. Gardner, President, Women's Voices. Women Vote:

“Today’s signing of the historic American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan by President Barack Obama is a much needed boost for not only the American economy generally, but for those who are among the hardest hit by this economic crisis.

“Unmarried women are suffering from the effects of this recession – the January 2009 Bureau of Labor Statistic numbers tell the story of the marriage gap. The current national unemployment figures show that, while married women were experiencing an unemployment rate of 4.9%, unmarried women had an unemployment rate of 9.3%—in other words, unmarried women had an unemployment rate that is almost double of married women.

"The economic downturn has had a catastrophic impact on the country and this economic recovery and reinvestment package comes at a critical time. This package will create much needed jobs and stability for families struggling to make ends meet,” Gardner concluded.

"The economic downturn has had a catastrophic impact on the country and this economic recovery and reinvestment package comes at a critical time. This package will create much needed jobs and stability for families struggling to make ends meet,” Gardner concluded.

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